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Season 7 finish: 91-71 (1st), 0 GB. 1035 runs scored, 821 runs allowed.
Season 8 payroll: $69m budgeted, $66.8m spent.
Infield
There are no recent All-Stars among this group (1B Albie Fernandez was in S2) but there are no significant weaknesses and a lot of strengths. C Stephen Diaz is no defensive whiz but his offensive ability is unquestioned, and he has a good all-around backup Trace Campbell. Returning infielders Fernandez, 2B Benji Paniagua and SS Pascual Aquino are joined by 3B Kirk Boucher, brought over in a preseason trade with
RATING: 7.
Outfield
All-Star CF Rudy Lesher can field, hit and run. ‘Nuff said. The guys to either side of him – LF Quentin Clark and RF Desi Castillo – are OK.
RATING: 5.5.
Starting Pitching
This much talent should be outlawed. Are you kidding me? OK, maybe a slight exaggeration, but when there is a fifth starter – Alan McDowell – who goes 17-13 in his first full season at age 23 there is little doubt that pitching is a team strength. Yes, Omar Delgado (14-11) was traded for Boucher, but in his place is Terry Delaney, acquired in preseason from
RATING: 9.
Bullpen
The seven-man bullpen is OK but doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence. Louis Kent has the title of closer, yet RHS Del James actually had more saves last season, 18 vs. 13. That might be a good thing:
RATING: 4.
Overall
There is no reason the Patriots shouldn’t win its third straight division title. But in both of the past two seasons it was knocked out in the first round by a lower-seeded team. Getting to the next step will determine whether fans cheer or boo. Prediction: 93-69, 1st place.
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Season 7 finish: 84-78 (2nd), 7 GB. 975 runs scored, 982 runs allowed.
Season 8 payroll: $64m budgeted, $57.4m spent.
Infield
Four of the five IF starters have been All-Stars and the only one who hasn’t been is 24-year-old first baseman Arthur Robbins, who is good and getting better. 2B Brian Stearns, also 24, was an All-Star and Gold Glove winner last season; 3B Todd Miller, 26, was an All-Star the year before. C Bill Sheffield is a four-time All-Star and
RATING: 8.
Outfield
Angels in the Outfield? Uh, no. Two current starters, CF Bernie Hammond and RF Rudy Hume, were signed as free agents in the off-season and LF Kennie James was acquired during the season last year. They might provide some offense. They’d better, because they surely won’t provide the pitching staff much help in the field. Last season’s starter in center, Abraham Harper, is currently on the bench. They might change during the season, either because of pitcher revolt or a trade. There doesn’t appear to be any help available in AAA.
RATING: 3.5.
Starting Pitching
The
RATING: 7.
Bullpen
Six of the seven members of the bullpen are holdovers from Season 7, including 37-year-old closer Sam Kennedy. The only newcomer is 23-year-old rookie Vladimir Johnson, a Season 3 International FA signing ($3.8m). Johnson looks to have the makings of a future closer if he’s able to avoid the injury bug (sub-30 health rating). All in all, it’s a solid but unspectacular group. RATING: 5.
Overall
There is a lot to like about this team. It has a lot of talent in key places and its budget is low with room to bring in help if it becomes available. But the defense is scary and that will likely undercut the effectiveness of the pitching staff. Still, the future is bright in
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Season 7 finish: 77-85 (3rd), 14 GB. 928 runs scored, 950 runs allowed.
Season 8 payroll: $93m budgeted, $91.8m spent.
Infield
Around the infield, the Jays have a solid but aging group. There are questions at the corners and at DH, but the middle is well-manned. SS Anthony Reagan, a former All-Star (S6), is a lifetime .302 hitter with speed and sure hands. 2B Delino Samuel is similar: .322 lifetime hitter but less speed. Both are 33 now, though, and in ratings decline. Season 7 3B Jaret Porter, the youngest IF starter last season, was released and is now in
RATING: 6.
Outfield
You can’t get much better than the Jays’ corner outfielders, five-time All-Star and S4 MVP Flash Dillon in RF and two-time All-Star David Rosado in LF. Barring injury, just put ‘em down for 162 very productive games. The only other OF listed on the roster is CF Ronnie Andrews who oddly took on most of the DH duty last season. With Morris’ and Simmons’ declining range, it’s likely Andrews will get more time in center this season.
RATING: 8.
Starting Pitching
While there is a lot of age among the position players, that’s not true of the starting pitchers. All of them are under 30; three of them are 25 or younger. Doug Bartee and Brian Nielsen lead the way. They were a combined 28-16 last season, gobbling up 450 innings. Bartee is a former All-Star (S5) and Nielsen was the No. 1 pick in Season 4. Eugene Coleman, the team’s No. 1 pick in S3, was 11-12 in his first full season last year and has a nice upside. The back-end of the rotation falls off quite a bit, with rookie Juan Ramirez and Dwight McCartin. Ramirez has talent but he also has control issues, while McCartin, well, just has issues. His stat history, though, shows that he performs better as a starter than out of the bullpen, but when Fausto Uribe comes off the Disabled List don’t be surprised to see McCartin put out to pasture.
RATING: 6.5.
Bullpen
RATING: 3.5.
Overall
The bullpen is the drag on this team but it’s also the area that can be more easily addressed during a season. That’s the hope. The rest of the team is solid, in some places spectacular. And while the team’s record has been falling since Season 5 – division winner in S5, wild card in S6 – a rebound is likely this season, maybe playoff contention if things break right. Prediction: 82-80, 3rd place.
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Season 7 finish: 72-90 (4th), 19 GB. 905 runs scored, 1100 runs allowed.
Season 8 payroll: $94m budgeted, $73.5m spent.
Infield
Behind the plate and on the right side of the infield, the BBQs have a remarkably talented group. Season 6 MVP and three-time All-Star 1B Stuffy Stewart already has 275 HRs in nearly five full ML seasons. C Ernie Robinson, a Season 3 1st round pick, hit 49 HRs in just his first full ML season in S7. Then there are four listed second basemen – veterans Ted Jameson and Ivan Ayala, and young studs Bud Brumfield and Bill Butler who just arrived in the majors last season. All four have to play somewhere. The left side, by comparison, is weak but it’s not bad. 3B Phil Daly was an All-Star last season. The problem is shortstop. Benji Ramirez can field the position but his offense is almost nonexistent and last season he served mostly as a backup, playing in just 55 games. Aging backup 3B Carl Badilla started 79 games there last season, and with his range now below 60, if that happens again opposing hitters might have a field day.
RATING: 8.
Outfield
There are only three outfielders listed on the roster: veteran OF Vic Sager who played 162 games in both S6 and S7 but is now 31, young CF Wayne Nathan who can field but can’t hit, and backup LF Gill Hernandez who is just thankful to have a ML job. CF Pepper Oliver had his option declined. So that means that somehow, some way, the extra second basemen are sure to spend a lot of time patrolling the green grass of Kauffman Stadium. Brumfield, in particular, has the ratings to cover centerfield. For grading purposes, it’s assumed Sager will get IF help. RATING: 7.
Starting Pitching
The barbecue won’t be the only tasty item in KC this season; opposing hitters will be licking their chops when they face these five starters. Returning starters Howard Taylor, Stephen Hume, Houston Darwin and S7 Rule V pick David Lee accounted for 120 starts, going a combined 35-52, with OAVs ranging from .294 to .335. No wonder KC had the second worst team ERA in the league last season at 6.45. Joel Black, who showed an ability to eat up innings in his four ML seasons, was brought in as a free agent from
RATING: 3.
Bullpen
The six-man bullpen has problems similar to the starting rotation, but closer Wesley Barnes has proven to be generally reliable. He was 14 of 18 in save opps last season with a .256 OAV and 1.28 WHIP. He was an All-Star in Season 5. Only one of the five other returning relievers had an OAV under .300. Another RP, Jose Barajas, is currently a free agent. He had 111 IP and it’s hard to see how his innings will be picked up.
RATING: 3.5.
Overall
There is some terrific offensive and defensive talent on this team, although it remains to be seen how well it will mesh. A lot of runs will have to be scored to overcome a weak pitching staff. There’s a lot of room in the budget so help might arrive sometime during the season. Looking ahead, Season 6 1st round stud Stuffy Grace is the long-term answer at SS but he’s just beginning his first season at AA. Prediction: 73-89, 4th place.
1 Comment:
Wow, terrific analysis in my opinion and well tempered. I tended to agree with most every rating and prediction. Thanks again!
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